Stage 15 – Giro D’Italia
The Giro love a mountain TT and it’s a great spectacle. In the past it’s been a fact that whoever wins this stage goes on to take the pink jersey, and it may be no different today. Three riders take up the majority of the book with Nibali, Chaves and Kruijswijk the big favourites to secure the win. Yesterday we smashed an 11/1 winner and the confidence is high, so let’s get ourselves some more profit.
Did Nibali go too deep yesterday in trying to cut his losses? Personally I think he was on the edge and would have spent a lot of energy going solo while the other two had riders around them. This may come back to haunt him, and although he could still have a great third week today may push him too hard.
Steven Kruijswijk is going to be my main pick, he’s at 100% and looks extremely comfortable climbing the steep slopes. A good TT earlier in the tour will also give him confidence going in to today’s stage and the Dutchman can cement his place at the top of the GC.
I’m going to have a few small bets on outsiders who have past form in this sort of stage and also have a chance of top ten in the overall. Ilnur Zakarin was flying in the last TT until he came off on the wet corners. That run would have put him in pink had he stayed up, but it shows the Russian enjoys this discipline and can go well today to push him closer to a top 5.
As usual Rigoberto Uran has flattered to deceive and puts in a couple of bad rides to kill his chances of the title. He’s starting to come in to form and has won a very similar stage to this in the Tour de France back in 2014 and also third here the same year. I think he has a great chance of causing a big upset on this vital day for the GC.
Rafal Majka hasn’t yet burst on the scene of the Giro, as he normally takes a solo win on a big mountain stage, today could be his time. One of the best pure climbers in the peloton he’s been able to keep with all the main contenders but hasn’t been let off the leash yet. He loves these sort of tracks and I wouldn’t be surprised to see him top of the time sheets.
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