Betting Tips for the Smart Punter

Di Marchi can spring a surprise

Stage 16 – Giro D’Italia

The last week of the Giro and we go straight in to a big mountain stage, which will surely split the GC contenders once again. It’s a short stage that starts with 40kms of downhill, so a break will be hard to form and possibly won’t go free until the first climb. But there will be fireworks as the riders fight for places in the top 10 and mountain classification. We’ve picked 28/1 and 11/1 winners in the last week, so let’s get another big priced victory!

Steven Kruijswijk is leading by over 2 minutes and is a shock pink jersey wearer this early in the race. The question is, can he handle the pressure about to be heaped on him, both physically and mentally. The peloton are going to be gunning for him and his team will not be able to offer much help on the big climbs, so let’s see how he fairs today. Here’s a lowdown on some of today’s selections and favorites.

This stage should yet again suit Alejandro Valverde, but for me he just doesn’t have the legs to kick on like he used to. He’ll do well to hold on to his 4th position with plenty of talent snapping at his heels.

Esteban Chaves is clearly in wonderful form, but the pressure is starting to mount on his shoulders. Will he ride an attacking race and attack Kruijswijk? He might just be happy for a place on the podium. If he’s in the leading group at the end he will have one of the best sprints from the pack and he’s my pick if the GC boys have it between them.

Rafal Majka hasn’t yet burst on the scene of the Giro, as he normally takes a solo win on a big mountain stage, today could be his time but it doesn’t look quite long enough for the Pole.

So many questions still to answer for Vincenzo Nibali. I always thought that we would see the best of him in the third week but now I have my doubts. The Italian cannot be written off as he is a wonderful rider, but I’m starting to lose my faith. Astana will not give up. Remember that Aru went through a bad spell during last year’s race. His team are the strongest but Nibali needs to find better legs.

Breakaway has a great chance of making it today as it’s so hard for a team to control such a short hilly stage. Diego Ulissi has already won two stages and this looks well within his grasp. Along with the likes of Roche, Moser and Wellens, there will be plenty of riders trying to get one last win on the Giro.

Advised bets (9 points total)

Diego Ulissi 2 points E/W @ 10/1 BET HERE

Esteban Chaves 1 point E/W @ 18/1 BET HERE

Sebastian Henao 1 point E/W @ 40/1 BET HERE

Alessandro Di Marchi 0.5 pointa E/W @ 50/1 BET HERE

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